Could it be that the United States Grand Prix Formula One race is the third most notable race in the United States? With Las Vegas making its debut next month and Miami gaining celebrity recognition every year since it entered the calendar, it seems like that is the case. But among the more devoted American Formula One fans, Austin continues to have a particular place.
NASCAR, F1, MotoGP, endurance racing, and other events are held at Circuit of the Americas. Although it is hosting its eleventh Formula One Grand Prix this weekend, it might not have as much prestige as recent additions Miami and Las Vegas in the Formula One calendar. It's still one of the best racetracks in the United States.
The run up to Turn 1 is a steep uphill climb that leads into the turn, making this track one of the more unusual starts in Formula One. Beyond that, expect a ton of grid-derived cowboy hats and American clichés.
There is a little less at risk this weekend because Max Verstappen already secured the championship, but that was almost certain months ago. Even though Verstappen has had absurdly low odds for the majority of this season, it is still funny to see him at -400 (1-to-4) to win the race. The fastest lap time was already recorded by Verstappen during Friday's practice session.
There's also a sprint race this weekend. Thus, a grand prix qualifying session and a sprint qualifying session will be held. Three of the four sprint races this season have been won by Verstappen. The sprint race in Qatar last weekend was won by Oscar Piastri.
The Athletic's F1 team provided predictions for Austin's podium and answered inquiries about what to watch for the remainder of the season.
In Austin's ten races, every winner has started from the front row. Is that just a coincidence, or does track position mean a lot in Austin?
Luke Smith: When I learned about this statistic, I was genuinely shocked. Austin is a track that's great for tight races and overtaking, which frequently leads to exciting finishes. When I think back to 2018, all three of the top finishers crossed the finish line in a matter of seconds. However, given that statistic, track position must certainly be significant!
Madeline Coleman: Considering the track arrangement, this is unexpected, much like Luke. The tight left-hander, which the drivers charge uphill towards, is followed shortly by the tight esses at Turns 3-5. This circuit offers many opportunities for overtaking and close races, but it would be impossible to attribute those results to coincidence.
Kevin Iversen: Like my colleagues, I think there should be a little more variation in the order of this track. We probably won't break the streak this weekend, but Max Verstappen's dominance has more to do with it than the track itself.
Is it realistic for Ferrari to catch up to Mercedes? Prior to Qatar, Ferrari had beaten the German team in five out of the previous races, and the difference is still only 28 points. Although Ferrari has 7-to-2 (+350) odds of placing second, are they really that likely?
Smith: Ferrari does, but Mercedes currently has the edge in my opinion. Mercedes has been far more reliable this year, even though Ferrari has had greater moments of success this year, most notably with Carlos Sainz's victory in Singapore. A late-season boost should be provided by the renovated floor. Barring any major surprises, Mercedes should be safe in P2, in my opinion.
Coleman This will be a cliched reply, but I agree with Luke (who wrote it while seated a few chairs away in the media center at the same time as me). Though it sounds corny, consistency is crucial in Formula One. Even with their issues early in the season, Mercedes established a rhythm. Ferrari can definitely finish in second place, but it will take strong point finishes from both Sainz and Charles Leclerc.
Iversen: Especially on high-speed circuits, the SF-23 is unquestionably superior to its earlier model this year. However, Leclerc noted on Thursday that "we've been lacking a bit more in the last few races was the medium, slow-speed corners." Mercedes is faster than the Ferraris, and the remaining races might not be favorable enough for the Ferraris to close the gap. But Mercedes has struggled to finish in the points on a regular basis (Russell crashed out at Singapore, Hamilton retired in Qatar).
By the end of the season, what alterations do you anticipate in the constructors standings?
Smith: I think the gap to Ferrari in third is a little too large, but McLaren will undoubtedly overtake Aston Martin, most likely this weekend in Austin. Zak Brown stated that while third place should be safe, his team would need a "miracle" to finish third. I only notice that one change. The bottom four will, in my opinion, continue to gain points occasionally, but not by enough to cause any significant swings.
Coleman: I'll take a risk and predict that McLaren will overtake Aston Martin and Ferrari will catch up to Mercedes. Although there isn't much of a change, I do think Williams will wait on Alfa Romeo. Considering that six teams are quicker than Williams and Alfa Romeo, P13 is actually the best chance.
Iversen: Well, it's a given that McLaren will pass Aston Martin to finish fourth. It is only 79 points behind Ferrari, but an abrupt decline in the Italian team's performance would be necessary for them to pass. Given Ferrari's lack of consistency, I believe Mercedes holds onto second place, while Haas overtakes Alfa Romeo for eighth place with its latest upgrades.
With five races remaining, Verstappen has already secured the championship. What is your prediction for the remaining races that he will win?
Smith: Fourteen. Even after winning titles, Verstappen demonstrated in Qatar that nothing will ever cause him to lose focus. He'll want to hold onto his dominance right up until the very end.
Coleman: All fifty-five. Even though they're all different songs, Verstappen has every right to sweep the board.
Iversen: This weekend, he'll win handily. The Red Bull should gorge themselves on this song. Red Bull's dismal weekend in Singapore seems to be becoming more and more of an aberration, but I don't think it's impossible that he sweeps the rest of the schedule either. Let me count four races.
It's prediction time: What podium do you believe Qatar will have?
Smith: 1. Van der Putten 3. Pérez 2. Hamilton 3.
Verstappen, first, Coleman 2. Pérez 3. Leclerc
Verstappen: 1. Iversen 2. Henry 3. Pedero
Sprint qualifying determines the starting grid for the sprint race, which takes place later in the day. Formula One has made the sprint race a stand-alone Saturday event. This is the revised sprint race format in action.
Charles Leclerc won pole for Ferrari in the practice sessions for Sunday's grand prix, while Max Verstappen finished sixth after having his fastest lap in qualifying eliminated due to going over the track limits.
This also gave Lando Norris the opportunity to overtake Lewis Hamilton in third place for Mercedes, with Carlos Sainz coming in fourth and George Russell in fifth for McLaren.
Following Verstappen are the two Alpine drivers, Pierre Gasly in seventh and Esteban Ocon in eighth. Red Bull's Sergio Perez did not perform well in ninth place, and Oscar Piastri of McLaren completed the top ten.
Aston Martin had a terrible qualifying session as both of its drivers—Lance Stroll, who finished 19th, and Fernando Alonso, who finished 17th—were eliminated in the first round.
How am I going to watch Formula 1?
Formula 1 is televised live on Sky Sports in the United Kingdom, and highlights are aired on Channel 4 a few hours after the race concludes. In the UK, live streaming is also accessible via NOW.
How can I follow the sprint race and qualifying for the Formula One United States Grand Prix?
Sprint qualifying for the United States Grand Prix will begin at 6:00 p.m. BST on Sky Sports F1, while sprint race coverage will begin at 10:00 p.m. BST on the same channel. All F1 practices, qualifying sessions, and races will be televised live in the United Kingdom on Sky Sports F1 and Sky Sports Main Event.
Sky Sports F1 is the channel
Time of start: Saturday, October 21, 2023, 6:00 p.m. BST for Sprint Qualifying
Time of start: Saturday, October 21, 2023, 10:00 p.m. BST for the Sprint Race .
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